Market Watch is where we dive into the ever-changing values of players in dynasty formats. Whether it’s an opportunity to buy low, sell high or even buy high, sharks never sleep.
? Bullish: These are players who are trending up, causing optimism for future prospects and performance.
? Bearish: These are players who are either trending down or show cause for concern regarding their future prospects and performance. We’re looking to sell these players.
Note: ADP is based on Sleeper PPR Dynasty Superflex Startup drafts in Chalk Leagues with a 0.5 PPR TE Premium.
American Football Conference (AFC)
AFC East
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen – ?
ADP – 29.3
While Allen has his pitfalls as an NFL quarterback, the Bills signal caller is a valuable fantasy asset as a QB with a good rushing floor and an increasing amount of weapons. Buffalo trading for Stefon Diggs early in the offseason should only help the young gunslinger in fantasy. The current pass catcher core of Diggs, Brown, Beasley and Knox gives Allen plenty of options to use his big arm to make big plays next season.
Stefon Diggs – ?
ADP – 60.5
The Bills trading for Diggs is great for the Bills and Josh Allen’s fantasy stock, as mentioned above, but not necessarily great for Diggs’ fantasy stock. Diggs moved from one run-first offense to another and, in terms of accuracy, downgraded at QB. The ceiling for Diggs is still very close to what it was in Minnesota, but I think his floor has lowered with the move to Buffalo.
Cole Beasley – ?
ADP – 279.4
Cole Beasley was an average producer last season, and still should hold some value in PPR leagues due to his work in the short passing game. However, the Bills adding Diggs hurts Beasley a lot more than John Brown.
John Brown – ?
ADP – 189.8
Brown is a deep threat and his fantasy outlook is hurt as Diggs is now the alpha who will command a large target share with a limited number of passes in the Buffalo offense. Smokey and his new teammate are also big play receivers so it will be worth monitoring whether the two can coexist.
Miami Dolphins
The (Former) Miami RBs – ???
ADP – Kalen Ballage: 343.3, Patrick Laird: 313.6, Myles Gaskin: Undrafted
After Jordan Howard signing with the Dolphins, I don’t see a spot for Kalen Ballage to contribute other than as a backup due to the similarities between his and Howard’s skillsets. Laird and Gaskin might do something if the Dolphins don’t address RB in the draft, but with the crazy amount of capital that they have I think they’ll draft at least one.
Preston Williams – ?
ADP – 133.1
Preston Williams is one of my favorite buys right now. He was on track for 179.6 fantasy points before going down with an injury last season, a number that would have put him less than ten points behind fellow rookie standouts Deebo Samuel and DK Metcalf. Most likely, you can buy Preston for quite a bit less than either of those two.
Devante Parker – ?
ADP – 92.4
This one seems weird, because Parker’s performance last year feels fluky on the surface. It coincided with Preston going down and Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing the ball willy-nilly around the field. However, I think that Parker can continue to be a valuable fantasy asset because of the Dolphins’ OC signing, Chan Gailey. Gailey, historically, has let his QBs play like Fitzpatrick and throw the ball all around the yard and I think whoever that QB is will still be able to sustain both Parker and Preston in Gailey’s system next year.
New England Patriots
Jarett Stidham – Trending ?
ADP – 148.1
Everyday the Patriots don’t sign a different QB, Stidham’s stock goes up just a little bit. Honestly, him surviving this long is a surprise to me. The Pats’ QB situation still has many possible outcomes though, including signing Cam or Jameis, trading for Andy Dalton, or adding another player via the draft, so be cautious investing in Stidham.
Pats WRs – ?
ADP – Julian Edelman: 164.6, N’Keal Harry: 119.8, Mohammed Sanu: 316.1, Jakobi Meyers: 305.3
Everyday the Patriots don’t sign a different QB, the Patriot’s WRs’ stock goes down just a little bit. Quite frankly, I’m not sure I believe in anyone on their WR roster with Stidham at QB. Edelman may be a value because of his age and people passing on him this year, but I don’t see value in Harry, Sanu, Meyers etc. at least in the short-term.
New York Jets
Sam Darnold – ?
ADP – 53.4
Sam Darnold comes into 2020 with an improved offensive line. His WR corps and coaching staff are still going to bring him down, but having more time to make decisions will be huge for a young guy like Darnold and I think he can translate that into success.
Breshad Perriman – ?
ADP – 200.5
Perriman has a decent shot at being highly involved in this passing game for an entire season. Mostly because the rest of the WRs on the team are question marks just like him. Expect him to fill the vacated Robby Anderson, deep-threat role.
Jamison Crowder – ?
ADP – 156.6
The Jets avoiding a WR splash signing in Free Agency means Crowder has a path to high amounts of volume again this year. As of before the draft, he projects to be Gang Green’s WR1.
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens
All Assets – No Change
The Ravens didn’t lose any significant pieces on offense or gain any, except maybe Hurst but I don’t think that will have much effect on the rest of their fantasy assets.
Cincinnati Bengals
Drew Sample or C.J. Uzomah – ?
ADP – Sample: 316.5, Uzomah: 299
Whichever one of these guys wins the position battle in camp will likely be worth a TE stream every now and then, and maybe a spot on your deep dynasty rosters.
Cleveland Browns
Austin Hooper – ?
ADP – 83.3
Hooper went from a great situation in Atlanta to an ok situation in Cleveland. Overall, the Browns’ passing attack looks to be trending down with the Stefanski hire and a run-first system. Hooper still has top-12 TE upside because of his skill but don’t expect the same results he had last year.
David Njoku – ?
ADP – 188
I think this one goes without saying. He’s been replaced and loses most of his value until his contract expires or he is let go/traded.
Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt – ❓
ADP – Chubb: 16.9, Hunt: 99.5
The Stefanski hire clearly helps the Browns’ running game in fantasy, but Kareem Hunt being available for all games in 2020 makes this situation a lot more murky. I’m really not sure what to do with either player in the short term, but both have great long-term values due to their skill.
Baker Mayfield – ?
ADP – 41.1
The Browns added Conklin and Hooper over the offseason, and most expect them to add another OT from the 10 spot in the draft. Meanwhile, a run-first system actually helps Baker in my opinion. His best plays come after play-action and if this new coaching staff can take advantage of that, Baker can have one hell of a season with all the weapons that surround him.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Vance McDonald – ?
ADP – 289.4
With Eric Ebron joining the squad, it seems as though Vance won’t have very much opportunity in the Steeler’s offense next year.
Pittsburgh WRs – ?
ADP – JuJu Smith-Schuster: 31.3, Diontae Johnson: 120.6, James Washington: 198.9
Big Ben is healthy again, signaling a likely increase in catchable passes for every other guy on the field. Hopefully, the Steelers address their backup QB situation in the draft or from the remaining free agency pool and we don’t have to see guys like Diontae Johnson and JuJu Smith-Schuster suffer if Ben goes down again.
AFC South
Houston Texans
Deshaun Watson – ?
ADP – 10.8
Watson lost a top 3 WR in the league. The Texans tried to replace Hopkins with Cooks and will likely add another body in the draft, but I don’t think Hopkins is replaceable in the short-term. Overall, Watson is still a great player, and he’ll survive. I just have short-term distrust due to lack of weapons. I’m avoiding him completely in redraft.
A Healthy WR1 – ?
ADP – Will Fuller: 119.1, Brandin Cooks: 138.75
You know how I said Hopkins isn’t replaceable? Well, two players will be forced to try: Brandin Cooks and Will Fuller. Both players offer large injury concerns, but if either stay healthy expect a lot of volume their way and fantasy success.
David Johnson – ?
ADP – 113.5
David Johnson went from backup to starter, so that’s a big plus for fantasy. I also believe that Bill O’Brien’s pride will be beneficial to David Johnson as he gets fed the ball to make it look like the Texans didn’t get fleeced in the Hopkins trade.
Indianapolis Colts
T.Y. Hilton – ?
ADP – 128.1
Hilton is a very talented player, but playing with Jacoby Brissett led to lower fantasy output than normal when healthy last season. If he can stay on the field this year, unlike last year, he can provide major value with Philip Rivers at QB.
Jacoby Brissett – ?
ADP – 245
Another obvious blow due losing his job. Also, if the draft rumors are true, he may not even have the Indy backup job on lock.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Gardner Minshew – ?
ADP – 94.4
The Jags picked the youngster this offseason over Nick Foles, and it really seems like they want to give him a shot at the undisputed starting role next season.
D.J. Chark – ?
ADP – 59.8
Chark had a monster season last year, and I think stability at QB will likely help Chark going into year three.
Tennessee Titans
Ryan Tannehill – ?
ADP – 70.4
Tannehill survives the Brady to Tennessee rumors and gets the extension he deserves. I think he can continue to be a strong fantasy asset in this Tennessee system.
Corey Davis – ?
ADP – 212.6
Tajae Sharpe is gone, somebody will have to step up a bit. Maybe it’s Corey Davis? Maybe it’s a new face we’ll see walk across the virtual draft stage next week? Maybe it’s the next player on this list?
Jonnu Smith – ?
ADP – 130
Jonnu Smith stepped in admirably last season for Delanie Walker after the latter went down in week 6. In fact, Jonnu was the TE12 from week 7 on last year. Now, with Walker officially gone for good, Jonnu gets the opportunity to keep up his production from the back half of last year, and quite possibly, do even better.
AFC West
Denver Broncos
Phillip Lindsay – ?
ADP – 143.9
Oh hey, another dude who lost his starting gig loses value. I still think he holds some value as the Bronco’s RB1b, but not near as much value as he had last year.
Melvin Gordon – ?
ADP – 69.8
Melvin Gordon to Denver was one of the more surprising moves of the offseason, at least to me. I thought Lindsay would be safe, but apparently not. Overall, I think both these guys lose some value as they move into the Bronco’s RBBC.
Kansas City Chiefs
Damien Williams – ?
ADP – 124.5
Damien Williams survived free agency two years straight now. It feels like everyone has wanted to see Williams replaced since he became the lead back in KC, but the Kansas City front office doesn’t seem to feel the same way. If he gets past the draft again this year, expect the hype train to depart the station just like last year.
Las Vegas Raiders
Marcus Mariota – ?
ADP – 201.8
Mariota was highly unlikely to sign anywhere with an open starting gig this offseason. However, Las Vegas feels like one of the better landing spots in terms of the possibility of usurping the current starter.
Josh Jacobs – ?
ADP – 21.1
DeAndre Washington signed with the Chiefs, he had 41 targets in the Oakland offense last year. Josh Jacobs owners hope those can be slid to Jacobs. The coaching staff keeps saying they want to get him involved in the passing game, so why not?
Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Jackson – ?
ADP – 191.4
Bye, bye, Melvin Gordon. The Chargers’ coaching staff sounds like they think they can ride Jackson as the compliment back to Ekeler next season. Expect them to add another RB in the draft, but pay attention to which RB and where they are drafted. In my opinion, whoever they draft is replacing Troymaine Pope as the RB3, not Jackson as the RB2.
Los Angeles WRs – ?
ADP – Keenan Allen: 58.5, Mike Williams: 119,
Bye bye, Philip Rivers. Good luck to Tyrod Taylor as he looks to show he’s still a starting-caliber NFL QB. Whether he is or isn’t that, he still likely won’t be heaving it downfield as much as Rivers was last year. I expect a decrease in overall passing yards for this offense next season, which will lead to less fantasy points for Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.
Hunter Henry – ?
ADP – 91
Hunter Henry gets bumped down for the same reasons as the LAC WRs. Also, there might be a small drop here due to the Chargers signing XFL standout Donald Parham. Parham will likely take a few more targets than an average TE2 would.
National Football Conference (NFC)
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys
Blake Jarwin – ?
ADP – 141.5
Jason Witten is gone, Blake Jarwin got paid. The Cowboys’ starting TE brings fantasy value. Just last year, old man Jason Witten was the TE11 in fantasy with Jarwin taking almost 100 fantasy points from the other side of the line.
New York Giants
Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton – ?
ADP – Tate: 209.6, Shepard: 152.8, Slayton: 113.6
With the Giants not adding another WR so far, it seems as though these three will be the guys out wide for the Giants next season. Last year, Shepard and Tate practically took turns being hurt. It will be interesting to see how all of them do in fantasy if they’re all on the field.
Philadelphia Eagles
All Offense – ?
The Eagles didn’t really do much this offseason on the offensive side of the ball. However, their defense looks mighty scary after the additions they made. This could lead to less offensive output from the Eagles as they won’t need to score as many points. Also, it should be noted that the current Eagles WRs will likely have their stocks plummet during the draft.
Washington Redskins
Dwayne Haskins – ?
ADP – 125.4
Cam Newton didn’t follow Ron Rivera to Washington, and Haskins is supposed to be in the draft call during the draft. So, it seems highly unlikely that Haskins doesn’t get another year to prove himself.
All RBs other than Derrius Guice – ?
ADP – Bryce Love: 224, Peyton Barber: 299.3, Adrian Peterson: 305.6, J.D. McKissic: Undrafted
Coach speak from Rivera seems that he loves Derrius Guice, which means less running for the rest of the RB room. Also, they went and added even more depth signing McKissic and Barber. It’s difficult to make sense of what will happen if Guice goes down.
NFC North
Chicago Bears
Allen Robinson & Anthony Miller – ?
ADP – Robinson: 58.8, Miller: 141.3
I think Nick Foles gives the Bears WRs more opportunity than Mitch Trubisky, especially Anthony Miller with Foles propensity to target the slot WR. Also, Allen Robinson is a steal at his current ADP. He finished WR8 last year, and is being drafted around WR22.
Mitch Trubisky – ?
ADP – 179.3
Trubisky got pulled for Chase Daniel last year after a couple bad games. With an upgrade at the backup QB, I expect Trubisky’s leash to be even shorter next year.
Nick Foles – ?
ADP – 182.6
Similarly to Marcus Mariota, Foles got one of the better backup QB jobs in the offseason. He also reunites with a bunch of his former coaches. DeFilippo is the Bears new QB coach, who worked with Foles in Philly and Jacksonville. Matt Nagy, the Bears’ HC, worked with Foles in Philly and KC. As well as new Bears Offensive Coordinator, Bill Lazor, who was with Foles in 2013.
Detroit Lions
Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones – ?
ADP – Golladay: 42.3, Jones: 179
Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones will improve so much with Stafford back in the fold as the starter after coming back from injury, and if Stafford goes down again they now have Chase Daniel instead of David Blough.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Jones – No Change
ADP – 32.4
People want to move Jones down their list because of the Packers talking about adding another RB in the draft. However, this quote was taken out of the context. The Packers want to add someone who can help Jamaal Williams IF Aaron Jones goes down again like he did last year.
Minnesota Vikings
Adam Theilen – ?
ADP – 83.9
No more Stefon Diggs means somebody has to pass catches from Kirk Cousins. While the Vikings offense will likely run through Dalvin Cook, but Diggs and Theilen have been good in fantasy for a few years now anyway. See The Missing Piece: Adam Thielen for more.
Tajae Sharpe – ?
ADP – 279.4
Tajae Sharpe joins a new team with a lot more opportunity than he had in Tennessee. If he holds onto the WR2 position in Minnesota, he could be a good fantasy asset for next year.
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons
Todd Gurley – ?
ADP – 69.1
The Rams offensive line last year was garbage due to injuries and poor management, and now Gurley steps into a new team. The Falcons have their own oline concerns, but they will continue to build the position through the draft. I also think that with the 1 year deal in Atlanta and Dan Quinn on the hot seat, the coaching staff could look to ride him all season long.
Carolina Panthers
Teddy Bridgewater – ?
ADP – 90.4
Teddy was one of my favorite backup QBs to acquire in Superflex before moving to Carolina because I love the talent, and now he gets the starting gig in Carolina with awesome receiving weapons like DJ Moore and CMC. He also steps into the Joe Brady offensive system, which was dominant for LSU and Joe Burrow in the college football ranks last season.
D.J. Moore – ?
ADP – 23.9
I think DJ Moore gets a bump for the new offensive system as well as an upgrade at QB. Moore finished WR18 last season while missing 2 games and playing with Kyle Allen at QB. I expect Moore to move into the top 12 WRs next season and due to his young age, I might rank him even higher in dynasty.
Curtis Samuel and Robby Anderson – ?
ADP – Samuel: 147.1, Anderson: 163.4
Bringing in Robby Anderson doesn’t hurt DJ Moore as much as some might think. However, it does hurt Curtis Samuel. Both players play very similar roles, and I don’t think they can both have strong production.
New Orleans Saints
Emmanuel Sanders – ?
ADP – 176.1
Emmanuel Sanders with Drew Brees, Sean Payton and Michael Thomas on the other side of the field is a recipe for success. He’s a huge target for my contending teams and redraft teams.
Michael Thomas – ?
ADP – 5.4
Michael Thomas is still a stud, 100%. However, with Sanders joining the team and possibly a rookie, I just don’t see him getting 140+ targets once again this year.
Drew Brees – ?
ADP – 87
Drew Brees is getting more weapons, he’s going to be even better with Sanders instead of Tre’Quan Smith. Similarly to Emmanuel Sanders, I love Brees for contenders and redraft leagues.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Mike Evans – ?
ADP – 34.1
Tom Brady joining the team means less gunslinging and likely less deep passes than Jameis Winston. Overall, the passing yards for the entire team will likely go down due to less playing from behind due to Jameis’ turnovers.
Ronald Jones – ?
ADP – 135.9
Ronald Jones didn’t get his job taken by Melvin Gordon or Todd Gurley like some expected to happen, and I think that the Bucs RB can produce next year playing with the lead instead of behind like last year.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
Kenyan Drake – ?
ADP – 54.3
Kenyan Drake getting tagged and staying with the Cardinals is great for him, because it seemed likely he would be put into a RBBC if he moved teams. It’s still possible he splits time with Chase Edmonds, but I think he has a great opportunity in Kliff’s offensive system.
Christian Kirk – ?
ADP – 94.4
With the DeAndre Hopkins signing and Fitzgerald staying another year, Kirk will likely have to wait again for his target share to go up.
Los Angeles Rams
Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods – ?
ADP – Kupp: 51.5, Woods: 87.8
The Rams changing to 11 personnel at the end of the season with Woods seeing almost all the snaps and Kupp splitting time with Cooks as the second WR. Now, Kupp and Woods will both see the field more than they were after the bye week last year.
Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett – ?
ADP – Higbee: 105.9, Everett: 230.3
With Cooks gone, the two Rams TEs will likely see more targets and increased production, but it will likely be a crapshoot as to which will succeed each week.
San Francisco 49ers
All RBs – ?
ADP – Tevin Coleman: 196.4, Raheem Mostert: 153.8, Jerrick McKinnon: 285.6, Matt Breida: 201.4
With Jerrick McKinnon likely returning to the committee, I have no idea to do with any of the 4 RBs that could be involved next year. I likely won’t trust any of them as more than a flex play if all 4 are healthy.
Dante Pettis – ?
ADP – 275.6
Emmanuel Sanders is gone, and somebody needs to fill the role. It could be a rookie, it could Dante Pettis, it could be Jalen Hurd, it could even be Kendrick Bourne. Somebody will step up and will likely be valuable as the 2nd or 3rd option behind Kittle and Samuel.
Seattle Seahawks
Will Dissly – ?
ADP – 183
Hello Greg Olsen, Will Dissly will have to wait at least another year if he is going to be the Seahawks’ TE1 again. It’s also possible he gets another rookie TE in the fold that would replace him after Olsen leaves.
Greg Olsen – ?
ADP – 237.4
I think Seattle was one of the better options for Olsen in free agency. Now, Olsen plays with an elite QB and can likely scoop up some TDs and be fantasy relevant again next year.
