Market Watch is where we dive into the ever-changing values of players in dynasty formats. Whether it’s an opportunity to buy low, sell high or even buy high, sharks never sleep.
? Bullish: These are players who are trending up, causing optimism for future prospects and performance.
Tyler Boyd – Boyd’s up and down and generally disappointing season couldn’t end quick enough. While the Bengals mired in futility, Joe Mixon started to re-flash his elite potential but Boyd remained inconsistent at best. The critics question whether Boyd can handle a lead role in a passing game as Green missing the entire season provided ample and unfulfilled opportunity to prove naysayers wrong. With all that being said, it seems like Zac Taylor may be figuring things out and Cincinnati will have a top pick in next year’s draft. If the Bengals end up with Joe Burrow and the LSU product lives up to his Heisman hype, Boyd will be a steal for those who decide to acquire him at a discount this winter. Boyd is only 25 and has already broken out early in his career. Although he lacks the game-breaking athleticism, he best compares to Adam Thielen, as a smooth slot receiver. Boyd also boasted one of the top HOG rates (15.9%) for wide receivers in 2019 along with the 20th ranked snap share at the position, which signifies that he is a focal point of the offense.
Sentiment: Buy Low
Christian Kirk – Kirk is another young WR, who has the potential to be a superstar in this league but disappointed compared to lofty expectations in 2019. The question marks are being to surface as Kirk has failed to score in all but one game this season (where he went bananas for 3 scores and got Vernon Hargreaves released the next day). On the bright side, Kirk ranked in the top 30 for wide receivers in HOG Rate and will continue to be peppered with targets in 2020 and beyond. In recent (too-early) mock drafts, some draft experts are projecting the Cardinals to continue to add to their receiving corps with touted incoming rookies like Lamb going to the desert. On the other hand, Kirk is consistently seeing an average of 8.5 targets a game from the ever-improving Kyler Murray. Even if the Cardinals take a WR in the upcoming draft, it will likely be a big-bodied true X to play outside and open things up for Kirk in the slot. Add in the fact that Larry Fitzgerald will likely retire after this year. There will be plenty of targets to go around and Kirk will be a beneficiary. Sell the narrative that Arizona is going WR early in the draft and then pick up shares of Captain Kirk.
Sentiment: Buy Low
? Bearish: These are players who are either trending down or show cause for concern regarding their future prospects and performance. We’re looking to sell these players.
Julio Jones – The age-old dilemma of selling a year too early or holding a year too late. There is usually no right answer, but I’m always looking to shed roster weight and having veterans rot away on your team will handicap your team’s future. A.J. Green is a prime example of a player who should have been sold during last offseason as a hard sell. Now Green owners who kept him are stuck with him at the ends of their benches with absolute zero trade value but enough value to keep him on your team. Julio hasn’t been as hobbled as Green so Jones will still be very productive for at least the next couple of seasons but if you can move him for a younger WR and some draft capital or additional depth, it’s a wise move. Julio just had a massive game and ended another TD drought so the distraction is there. I am bearish on the Falcons offense as a whole (although Calvin Ridley is a bright spot) so I’m looking to unload as many of them as possible. Move Jones now (but without discount).
Sentiment: Sell High
